Key insights
- Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are escalating, potentially disrupting crude oil supply through the Strait of Hormuz. This could lead to higher oil prices, benefiting energy stocks while pressuring tech stocks due to persistent inflation and delayed interest rate cuts. The expiration of Trump's ultimatum adds to the uncertainty, suggesting potential market volatility.
US/Israel strike: US hit Iran’s nuclear facility, Israel hit Tehran. UK sub in position.Iran retaliated: Missiles struck southern Israel (near nuclear site) and a US-UK base in the Indian Ocean.
Strait of Hormuz is the choke point. If this escalates, crude could rip past $100？
The usual suspects: LMT, NOC, RTX
Tech: Inflation pressure stays hot ，rates don’t drop ，QQQ might take a hit.
My move:watch crude futures over the weekend. If no de-escalation by Monday open, I’m adding energy and trimming some tech.
Trump's 48hour ultimatum is about to expire. Will there be significant market volatility?
Not financial advice，DYOR.
I currently hold a small amount of USO and TLT.