
Losing to Win: A VC Lens Will Find the Next Nvidia
In the second half of 2009, Chief Rule Breaker David Gardner made a run of recommendations in Stock Advisor that, judged individually, look unremarkable at best. Adobe (ADBE +0.87%), selected in August, lags the S&P 500 by roughly 280%. Dassault Systèmes (DASTY +0.27%), recommended the following month, trails the market by more than 500%. Hasbro (HAS -0.89%), selected that October, lags by roughly 460%. These three recs have failed to beat the market by some considerable distance.
Bookending that run of Adobe, Dassault, and Hasbro were Interactive Brokers (IBKR +0.98%), recommended in June, and Nvidia (NVDA -1.63%), recommended that December. Interactive Brokers fares far better than the middle three. It is beating the market by more than 2,300 percentage points. Nvidia, recommended at a split-adjusted $0.38, has done better still: Shares trade today at $228.87, outperforming the S&P 500 by more than 58,000 percentage points.
Run the math on that five-stock basket. Excluding Nvidia,

















