Key insights
- An investor bought shares of companies whose CEOs accompanied Trump to China, observing portfolio concentration in semiconductors and defense. Initial performance is mixed, with limited movement in defense stocks. The investor questions whether CEO delegations are leading indicators or just pattern matching. This highlights potential sensitivity to trade news but lacks strong predictive power.
So I saw all this Trump China trip news and thought “okay what if I just… owned it and watched what happens” instead of reading hot takes all day. Bought 1 share of each of the 17 companies on the trip:
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Tech: Meta, Micron, NVIDIA, Apple, Qualcomm
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Finance: GS, Mastercard, Visa, Citigroup, Blackstone
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Defense: Boeing, GE Aero, Coherent, BlackRock
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Other: Tesla, Illumina
Weird observations:
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My portfolio is literally 68% semiconductors + defense lol. Like accidentally. That’s probably the actual policy priority.
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Tesla stuck out like a sore thumb with 25% China production but apparently Elon has Trump on speed dial so 🤷
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Most stuff is down 0.5-9% rn but honestly I’m just watching to see if this actually moves predictably when trade news drops.
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Defense contractors just… aren’t moving much. Wondering if that’s because the market already priced in Taiwan tensions or what.
Genuine question: Does following CEO delegations actually matter or am I just pattern matching?