Key insights
- Russia warned the US to evacuate diplomats from Kyiv, signaling intensified strikes on Ukrainian military and government facilities. This escalation increases geopolitical risk and uncertainty, potentially leading to risk-off sentiment in US equity markets. Heightened tensions could further disrupt supply chains and energy markets, negatively impacting corporate earnings and investor confidence.

Investing.com -- Russia’s government warned U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio to evacuate diplomats and American citizens from Kyiv as Moscow prepares new strikes on the Ukrainian capital, according to Russian officials on Tuesday.
Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov "officially informed" Washington that Russia would launch "systematic and consistent strikes" against Ukrainian military facilities and what Moscow called "decision-making centers" during a phone call with Rubio on Monday, the Russian government stated.
Russia issued a statement urging foreign citizens, diplomatic personnel, and international organizations to leave Kyiv. The government said it was preparing to target the capital, focusing on facilities for designing, manufacturing, and programming drones.
"The strikes will target decision-making centers and command posts," the statement said. "Due to the fact that the above-mentioned facilities are scattered across Kyiv, we are notifying foreign citizens, including the personnel of diplomatic missions and international organizations of the need to leave the city as soon as possible."
Russia’s government also warned Kyiv residents not to use military or government facilities and infrastructure.
Lavrov highlighted the warning to Rubio during Monday’s call, the Russian foreign ministry said.
U.S. State Department spokesperson Tommy Pigott said Rubio spoke to Lavrov at the latter’s request. "The parties exchanged views on the Russia-Ukraine war, bilateral relations, and the situation in Iran," he said.
Lavrov also "expressed regret" at the impasse over a Russia-Ukraine peace deal, according to Russia’s foreign ministry.
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