AI companies continue cross-investment as ROI questions loom

FINANCE.YAHOO.COMMar 16, 4:09 PM UTC

Key insights

  • Analysts discuss AI investment strategies, highlighting Meta's $27B deal with Nebius. Concerns are raised about ROI and monetization, particularly for smaller AI firms. Large companies like Google face pressure to invest to protect their core businesses. Infrastructure companies like Nvidia are expected to see continued growth through 2026, with potential for significant monetization improvements in 2027.
AI companies continue cross-investment as ROI questions loom

Bokeh Capital Partners founder and CIO Kimberly Forrest and Freedom Capital Markets managing director Paul Meeks share their thoughts on the trajectory of the AI trade, and at what point return on investment can be expected. This comes after Meta Platforms (META) has inked a $27 billion deal for an AI partnership with Nebius (NBIS).

I worked at AI companies that didn't focus on like total addressable market and what was happening there with the technology and especially with payback, right? Like the reason why we would get one project as in our little AI kind of company, and then we wouldn't get the add-on project because we didn't add value to the company that was paying us. And I think this is hugely important. Paul brought this up at the beginning of his segment, um, you know, or his time talking here, that, you know, the monetization of this has to occur. Now, the big companies that are currently spending have a lot of money to spend and one of them, Google, I'm talking to you, has to spend because I think it can see its, um, main franchise search being gobbled up by these large language models because people don't really want to get a list of web websites back, they just want to ans ask a question in English and get an answer. So that is a huge driver for the top companies that have the cash flow in that Magnificent 7 to keep spending. But it's going to end at some point because you've got to get that money back.

I think what happens here and it'll it'll impact the AI infrastructure companies like Nvidia and some of the others. I think in 2027, we'll have a nice inflection in these businesses. We'll get some uh sense or even more of a sense that there'll be monetization, but I think 26 will be a continued infrastructure building. So I obviously are going to be with my Neo Cloud, semiconductor and hardware companies, but I think we're going to get some goodies in 27 that will change the narrative. But unfortunately, we're not going to be able to see that until we get pretty close to the end of this year.

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