Key insights
- The author highlights the impact of information asymmetry on energy markets, specifically regarding geopolitical events like the postponed Iran strike. Early access to information allowed some traders to profit before the news became widely available. This suggests that geopolitical risks can create short-term volatility in energy markets, but the overall impact on US equities is limited unless it escalates significantly.
The information asymmetry on geopolitical events is the biggest edge in energy markets right now. Yesterday the Trump/Iran strike postponement was on squawk feeds at 11:05:32 GMT. Brent was already moving before most retail traders had seen a headline. I run a concentrated Iran/energy portfolio (LNG, Shell, BAE, Rheinmetall) and built a real-time intelligence feed to track exactly this kind of event across 60+ sources. Happy to discuss the thesis and how information latency affects positioning. inteldesk.app