TSEM — The TSMC of AI Photonics. 5-10x potential

REDDIT.COMMar 22, 12:40 AM UTC

Key insights

  • The post highlights Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) as a key player in AI photonics manufacturing, suggesting a significant growth potential due to its unique SiPho PDK and partnerships with major players like NVIDIA. The limited float and strong Q1 earnings growth could drive a substantial re-rating of the stock. This could positively influence US semiconductor stocks, particularly those involved in AI and photonics.
TSEM — The TSMC of AI Photonics. 5-10x potential

Tsem owns the only production SiPho PDK on earth. LITE, COHR, AAOI, Broadcom, Marvell — they all come to Tower to fab their photonics chips because literally no one else can make them.

LITE (the customer): $55B market cap.

TSEM (the foundry everyone depends on): $19B.

The float is the real play. 112M shares on $19B. Dual-listed with 25% locked in foreign pensions that never sell on US drawdowns. Real tradable float: ~35M shares.

Friday proof: sector down 8-14%. TSEM down 1.48% on 3x volume. The structural floor is real.

Now flip it. Q1 earnings in may. SiPho growing 70% YoY. NVIDIA partnership. $650M to triple capacity. Near zero analyst coverage.

When buying hits 35M tradable shares with no supply, the re-rate is violent.

Not financial advice. Float math doesn’t lie.​​​​​​​​​​​​

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