VGNT as a classic spin-off Value Play with good headwinds

REDDIT.COMApr 10, 3:29 PM UTC

Key insights

  • The author suggests Versigent (VGNT) is undervalued due to index fund selling post-spin-off. Despite risks like high debt, reliance on legacy automakers facing EV transition challenges, and copper tariff-related supply chain issues, the author believes VGNT's intrinsic value offers a margin of safety. This could signal potential opportunities in other spin-offs or undervalued industrial assets, but the specific impact on the broader US market is limited.
VGNT as a classic spin-off Value Play with good headwinds

Once again, I'm back, the person who loaded into GOOGL in 2024 with the majority of my portfolio (and META shareholder). I bought a lot of Versigent (VGNT) today, and here's what I'm thinking.

So Versigent designs, manufactures, and distributes low-and high-voltage power electrical architectures. It has a market cap of around 2 billion.

You have a fundamentally sound, cash-generating business that provides the electrical architecture for one in six passenger vehicles on the road today. Also going into agri, industrial automation, and power.

I saw it's currently trading at an irrational, distressed price solely because large index funds are mechanically forced to blindly dump their shares following the spin-off.

So thankfully, we have a massive margin of safety. The Munger Floor (if you're familiar) is around $100+. I would recommend doing some valuations yourself and seeing how wide it is.

Now, the risks are the following: the company is saddled with $2.1 billion in new debt, it is heavily reliant on legacy automakers who are currently stumbling through a brutal EV transition, and it faces serious supply chain pressure from recently overhauled copper tariffs.

Might still be worth buying a globally entrenched industrial asset for a fraction of its absolute worst-case value, though. ;)

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