Key insights
- Congressional insider trading disclosures, particularly from representatives on relevant committees like House Armed Services, can offer leading indicators for specific sectors. Representative Cisneros' recent buys in Industrials, including aerospace and defense, suggest potential near-term outperformance for these segments. Historically, his disclosed trades in this sector have shown a strong median return and win rate when held for 90 days, implying a potential positive signal for related US equities.
House Rep. Gil Cisneros disclosed 4 new buys in the Industrials sector today (all $1K–$15K range).
Cisneros sits on the House Armed Services + Small Business Committees.
The Trades:
- $CSW (CSW Industrials) → specialty lubricants, sealants & fire protection systems * $DCO (Ducommun) → aerospace & defense electronics/structures * $VRSK (Verisk Analytics) → insurance risk, claims & catastrophe analytics * $VLTO (Veralto) → water quality testing/treatment + packaging tech
Historical Performance
If you copied all of Cisneros' Industrial-sector buys when they are publicly disclosed and exited 90d later:
- Median return: +15% * Win rate: 71% * Median SPY-adjusted return: +6.6% * Beats SPY: 62% of the time * 130 prior trades
All this original data was collected by me, I analyze congressional trades with the methodology: buy at disclosure, sell 90d later.
Is this useful to anyone?