Key insights
- The US and regional mediators are exploring potential peace talks with Iran, possibly as early as Thursday. However, Iranian officials deny direct negotiations, though confirm message exchanges. Pakistan has offered to host talks. The situation is uncertain, with US officials citing internal chaos within the Iranian government. This news introduces geopolitical uncertainty, potentially leading to a slightly negative impact on US equities due to increased risk aversion.

Investing.com - The U.S. and regional mediators are discussing high-level peace talks with Iran potentially as soon as Thursday, though they are awaiting Tehran’s response, according to two sources with knowledge of the discussions cited by Axios.
Iranian officials are currently denying Trump’s claim of behind-the-scenes negotiations, though they have confirmed the U.S. has sent messages and proposals.
Pakistan, which has been passing messages between Tehran and Washington along with Egypt and Turkey, said it "stands ready and honored" to host peace talks if both countries agree. Trump shared the Pakistani message on Truth Social.
If plans for a summit move forward, Vice President Vance is likely to be involved. "But it’s not clear if there is anything to be involved in. Everyone is trying to figure out if it’s real," one source with knowledge said.
U.S. officials say the Iranian government is in chaos and is having trouble communicating internally.
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