Key insights
- Mexican economists surveyed by Banco de Mexico raised their 2026 inflation forecast and slightly lowered their 2026 GDP growth outlook. While seemingly localized, persistent inflation in Mexico could indirectly impact US equities through supply chain disruptions or shifts in trade dynamics. The peso's strength against the dollar could also influence relative competitiveness.
Investing.com -- Mexico’s central bank published its monthly survey of economists on Monday, revealing adjusted forecasts for inflation and economic growth over the next two years.
Economists raised their year-end 2026 inflation forecast to 4.37% from 4.22%, while holding their 2027 year-end inflation projection steady at 3.82%.
The growth outlook for 2026 was trimmed to 1.35% from 1.44%, though economists lifted their 2027 GDP forecast to 1.82% from 1.79%.
On the currency front, the survey showed economists expect the peso to end 2026 at 18.02 per dollar, stronger than the previous forecast of 18.11. The 2027 year-end exchange rate projection was also adjusted to 18.55 from 18.65 pesos per dollar.
The results represent the average forecast of 43 economists surveyed by Banco de Mexico.
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