Key insights
- The article discusses the potential for SNDK to reach $1,000 before earnings, driven by increased NAND demand from AI, tight supply management, and potential margin expansion. A short squeeze is possible due to high short interest. However, crowded positioning could lead to volatility. The key question is whether to anticipate the squeeze or wait for post-earnings confirmation.
There’s a real bull vs bear setup going into the 4/30 report. Short interest has spiked, which is triggering talk about a potential squeeze, while Bernstein is throwing out a $1,000 target.
From a few angles:
On the demand side, AI inference is running into a memory bottleneck, which is driving more structural demand for NAND.
On the supply side, the major manufacturers are managing production pretty tightly, almost like an OPEC style setup for chips.
On the margin side, operating leverage could push gross margins from around 32% up toward the 50% range if pricing holds.
And as one of the few pure play NAND names, SNDK is positioned to benefit directly from any pricing upside.
That said, into earnings this kind of setup usually comes down to positioning and expectations. If sentiment is already crowded, you can get sharp moves both ways.
So the real question is how to position ahead of the report. Do you lean into the squeeze potential, or wait for confirmation after earnings?
Curious how you guys are thinking about it. Do you see a path to $1,000, or is that too aggressive in the near term?