Wall Street Expects CoreWeave's Revenue to Double in 2026 and 2027. Is the Stock a Buy?

FOOL.COMJun 12, 7:50 AM UTC

Key insights

  • CoreWeave, an AI-focused cloud computing company, is projected to experience substantial revenue growth, nearly doubling annually through 2027, driven by its GPU rental model. Nvidia's significant investment highlights strong potential. However, execution risk exists due to high capital requirements and reliance on external funding. If successful, the company could achieve significant profit margins, making it a potentially high-reward investment, though not without considerable risk.
Wall Street Expects CoreWeave's Revenue to Double in 2026 and 2027. Is the Stock a Buy?

CoreWeave (CRWV +0.14%) is one of the fastest-growing stocks on the market. Wall Street analysts expect huge revenue growth over the next two years, with 2026's revenue expected to rise 147% year over year and 97% in 2027.

Those are incredible growth rates, and will result in CoreWeave's revenue rising from $5.1 billion at the end of 2025 to nearly $25 billion by the end of 2027 (if projections pan out).

That's a major business expansion in a short time frame, and that kind of growth gets investors excited. But is the stock worth buying?

CoreWeave is known as a neocloud company, meaning it operates as a cloud computing business with an artificial intelligence focus. In CoreWeaves's case, it fills its data centers with cutting-edge GPUs from Nvidia (NVDA +2.30%), then rents those back to clients for excess AI computing power. Nvidia is so confident in CoreWeave that it owns more than 47 million shares -- or about 9% of the company. A company like Nvidia, with a huge growth rate and countless opportunities, doesn't invest in outside businesses for no reason; it sees huge potential that could lead to outsize returns.

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Nvidia has invested heavily in CoreWeave, but it needs it. Unlike the major cloud computing providers, CoreWeave doesn't have a base business to fund its operations. So, it needs to seek external investors or take on debt to build out its data center footprint. This isn't cheap, which leads to major execution risk for CoreWeave.

However, the upside is immense if CoreWeave can form a profitable business. It's not uncommon to see operating margins of 30% or higher in fully mature cloud computing businesses. Add in taxes and other depreciation costs, and it's not out of the question for CoreWeave to achieve a 15% profit margin. Should CoreWeave do that on a revenue base of $25 billion (what Wall Street projects in 2027), that could lead to the company generating nearly $4 billion in profits, valuing it at 15 times hypothetical forward earnings. That's actually a pretty reasonable price.

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But CoreWeave must produce real profits before that's even feasible. The economics of the business are there, as is the growth. We'll see how the execution plays out, as the industry is a long way from the AI build-out wrapping up, so investors should expect big losses and continued massive spending. But with a $100 billion backlog to churn through, I think CoreWeave makes for a solid investment with major upside.

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