Key insights
- Escalating US-Iran tensions following Trump's speech raise concerns about oil supply disruptions and broader geopolitical instability. The perceived indifference of the US president to adverse consequences fuels risk aversion. This could trigger a market sell-off and potentially a circuit breaker activation in US equity markets before the upcoming long weekend.
I just watched Trump's speech and it sounds like the US is escalating the war with Iran. This means oil supply will not get back to pre-war levels anytime soon. The additional bombings are likely to add risk to oil related assets both in Iran and to Iran's neighbors if Iran retaliates again.
Geopolitical instability causes more geopolitical instability. Other nations around the world are suffering economically because of the US's actions.
The US President was firm tonight he does not care about the adverse consequences of this war.
So could this trigger a circuit breaker before the 3-day weekend?