Key insights
- The author notes that PINS, RDDT, and SNAP are all down approximately 40% since January 2nd, attributing the decline to a combination of a SaaS selloff and geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz. The author is skeptical about a near-term recovery, suggesting it would require positive catalysts like strong ad revenue guidance from Meta or a slowdown in AI capex spending.
Say what you want about social media company stocks. Especially Snap and Pins aren’t popular here and for obvious reasons a lot of people here favor Rddt over the other two.
Some say these three stocks cannot be pooled together and that they don’t trade as peers. Well, they’re down by roughly the same amount since January 2, so… they’re all down roughly 40 % since January 2.
The downfall began when SaaS apocalypse happened. Tech and software stocks dipped, then kept bleeding and eventually a crash had happened- at least to some stocks. RDDT, snap and pins were some of these.
Then Iran happened and the quick relief rally that might have happened didn’t happen. Now it seems new resistance is taking shape and even if the situation in Iran cools and the strait opens safely and securely, I’m not sure these stocks will recover very much.
What’s it going to take? Nvidia CEO needs to say AI capex is going to chill? Meta saying ad revenue is going to be excellent all of a sudden?