Key insights
- An invasion of Cuba, while seemingly unlikely, introduces geopolitical risk that could negatively impact the US stock market. Potential disruptions to shipping lanes and trade with Venezuela, coupled with increased risk aversion among investors, could lead to a moderate sell-off. The extent of the impact depends on the scale and duration of the conflict.
Trump just told reporters he believed he would soon have "the honour of taking Cuba", adding: "I can do anything I want."
He's clearly feeling confident right now, despite Iran presumably not really going the way he planned.
What exactly is the risk with this? Can Cuba fling missiles into the US? Disrupt shipping? I'm not from the US so I know very little about the situation with Cuba but I'm thinking an US invasion is (or would be barring the Iran adventure) immininent.
I'm wondering if they can do damage to Venezuelan ships coming into the US?