AI Investment Concerns Deepen: Credit Default Swaps Spike on Tech Debt

R
Rich

Investors are increasingly hedging against AI-related debt, driving a surge in Credit Default Swaps (CDS) for major tech firms. Weekly trading volumes for CDS linked to Oracle, SpaceX, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Broadcom, and Nvidia jumped from under $2 billion in July to over $9 billion in September .

Key points:

  • AI-linked debt issuance reached $466 billion in 2026, up from $101 billion in 2025 .
  • Cost of CDS for AI-linked companies like CoreWeave and Microsoft hit record highs .
  • Five-year Meta CDS climbed to 108 bps, Nvidia to 101 bps, both record highs .
  • Oracle's CDS rose to 322 bps from 144 bps YTD; SpaceX hit 226 bps .
  • HSBC CEO warns investors to be selective in data center investments, citing potential challenges in tenancy agreements and pricing .

This trend signals growing caution around the sustainability and financial risks associated with the rapid expansion of AI infrastructure, despite a recent rebound in US tech stocks .

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